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Country analysis

Afghanistan


The drivers of the humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan include economic crisis, drought and other climate hazards, insecurity, and protection threats, which particularly affect women and girls.

In 2024, 23.7 million people will require humanitarian assistance, because of the persisting effects of past years of armed conflict and displacement, economic shocks, and structural issues (including poverty and poor infrastructure). Food remains a priority need, followed by livelihood opportunities. Afghanistan faces a widespread climate change-induced water crisis. Several Taliban decrees, directives and its overall control over citizens' lives affect humanitarian response in the country.

Despite slight stabilization since January 2023 with lower commodity prices and improved harvests, Afghanistan's economy remains one of the main drivers of needs. Women-headed households, households with members experiencing disabilities, rural households, and recent returnees are the most vulnerable. These groups resort to coping strategies to meet their needs; and face challenges in maintaining adequate food consumption, have higher debts and lower income. In Afghanistan, 6.3 million people are internally displaced, and 1.9 million returned from Iran and Pakistan.

In October 2023, four magnitude 6.3 earthquakes, along with multiple aftershocks, hit Herat province, affecting 1.6 million people. 114,000 of this number remain in need of urgent humanitarian assistance.

(OCHA 23/12/2023, OCHA 16/10/2023, IPC 14/12/2023, UNDP 18/01/2024, UNICEF 11/12/2023)

The drivers of the humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan include economic crisis, drought and other climate hazards, insecurity, and protection threats, which particularly affect women and girls.

In 2024, 23.7 million people will require humanitarian assistance, because of the persisting effects of past years of armed conflict and displacement, economic shocks, and structural issues (including poverty and poor infrastructure). Food remains a priority need, followed by livelihood opportunities. Afghanistan faces a widespread climate change-induced water crisis. Several Taliban decrees, directives and its overall control over citizens' lives affect humanitarian response in the country.

Despite slight stabilization since January 2023 with lower commodity prices and improved harvests, Afghanistan's economy remains one of the main drivers of needs. Women-headed households, households with members experiencing disabilities, rural households, and recent returnees are the most vulnerable. These groups resort to coping strategies to meet their needs; and face challenges in maintaining adequate food consumption, have higher debts and lower income. In Afghanistan, 6.3 million people are internally displaced, and 1.9 million returned from Iran and Pakistan.

In October 2023, four magnitude 6.3 earthquakes, along with multiple aftershocks, hit Herat province, affecting 1.6 million people. 114,000 of this number remain in need of urgent humanitarian assistance.

(OCHA 23/12/2023, OCHA 16/10/2023, IPC 14/12/2023, UNDP 18/01/2024, UNICEF 11/12/2023)

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Latest updates on country situation

10 December 2024

On 2 December 2024, the Taliban issued a new decree to ban women from attending medical training – one of the last higher education opportunities that were left for women in the country. This ban will worsen an already fragile healthcare system, leaving countless Afghan women without access to adequate care. The country is facing a severe shortage of medical professionals – particularly female doctors, nurses, and midwives. In Afghanistan, women are not allowed to see male doctors for treatment. If the ban is implemented, this contradictory decision may lead to increased risk of illness and death for women caused by a lack of healthcare access. In 2024, about 23.7 million people are projected to be in urgent need of humanitarian assistance in Afghanistan; 77% of them are women and children, and approximately 17.9 million require health assistance. Afghanistan is one of the countries with the highest maternal mortality rates, with 638 mothers dying for every 100,000 births. ([HRW 03/12/2024] (https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/12/03/afghanistans-taliban-ban-medical-training-women), [MSF 06/12/2024] (https://reliefweb.int/report/afghanistan/excluding-women-medical-institutes-threatens-future-healthcare-afghanistan), [UNHCR 08/12/2024] (https://reliefweb.int/report/afghanistan/unhcr-afghanistan-women-and-girls-factsheet-october-2024))

24 July 2024

From 15–16 July 2024, heavy rainfall and flash floods affected several provinces in eastern and northeastern Afghanistan, killing at least 58 people, injuring 380, and likely displacing many others. The impact also destroyed 550 tents In the Omari IDP camp and damaged many WASH facilities. People’s needs include food, shelter, health services, and clean drinking water. (OCHA 21/07/2024, IR 22/07/2024)

18 June 2024

Until 1 June 2024, over 610,000 individuals had returned to Afghanistan since the Ministry of Interior in Pakistan announced its Illegal Foreigners' Repatriation Plan (IFRP) in September 2023. The return process is still underway, albeit slower than at the end of 2023. Among the most recent 21,821 returnees who arrived between 16–31 May 2024, 37% were elderly, 22% were individuals with chronic diseases, and 21% were women. These people might need tailored assistance. Overall, the most pressing needs of the returnees include financial support, shelter, and employment opportunities. (IOM accessed 18/06/2024, IOM 07/06/2024)

29 May 2024

An estimated 6.5 million children will likely face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or Emergency (IPC Phase 4) food insecurity in 2024 given the impact of floods, droughts, and the mass return of Afghans from Pakistan and Iran. Heavy rains are likely to intensify in the coming months, leading to more floods and further affecting food insecurity. (STC 27/05/2024, WFP 21/05/2024)

13 May 2024

From 10–11 May 2024, heavy rainfall and flash floods hit northeastern Afghanistan, affecting 21 districts across Badakhshan, Baghlan, and Takhar provinces, with Baghlan facing the most impacts. The disaster has displaced an unknown number of people, who need emergency shelter, food and NFIs, medical supplies, safe drinking water, and hygiene kits. By 14 May, at least 330 people had died from the impact, the majority of whom were in Baghlan province. By 12 May, the floods had destroyed or damaged nearly 9,000 homes. Civilian infrastructure, such as key health facilities and water supply systems, has sustained significant damage. Flooding has also affected agricultural land and livestock. Some access restrictions from road damage are likely to hinder aid delivery. (OCHA 12/05/2024, ECHO 14/05/2024, FloodList 13/05/2024)

18 April 2024

In 2024, food, education, and shelter are among the key needs of the about 250,000 children in Afghanistan who have recently returned from Pakistan. Since September 2023, over 520,000 Afghans have returned from Pakistan after the latter announced that all foreigners in the country without valid documents would be forced to leave by 1 November or face arrest and deportation. (STC 18/04/2024, ACAPS 07/12/2023)

28 February 2024

Since November 2023, Afghanistan has been experiencing an increase in suspected measles cases, driven by high community transmission worsened by winter conditions and inadequate immunisation coverage. Since January 2024, approximately 6,000 cases have been reported, resulting in 24 deaths. The majority of those affected are children under five. (WHO 22/02/2024)

current crises
in Afghanistan


These crises have been identified through the INFORM Severity Index, a tool for measuring and comparing the severity of humanitarian crises globally.

Read more about the Index

AFG001 - Complex crisis

Last updated 19/11/2024


Drivers

Conflict
Violence
Displacement
Drought
Earthquake
Socio-political

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

4.4 Very High

Access constraints

4.0

Analysis products
on Afghanistan

Afghanistan: 2023-2024 economic scenario review and outlook for 2025-2026

30 December 2024

Afghanistan: 2023-2024 economic scenario review and outlook for 2025-2026

DOCUMENT / PDF / 409 KB

This report is an update on the forward-looking snapshot of the Afghan economy published in January 2023 and aims to provide humanitarian responders with an understanding of Afghanistan’s key economic constraints

Economy
Afghanistan: third update on Taliban decrees and directives relevant to the humanitarian response (July–December 2024)

24 December 2024

Afghanistan: third update on Taliban decrees and directives relevant to the humanitarian response (July–December 2024)

DOCUMENT / PDF / 409 KB

 These updates aim to provide humanitarian responders with an understanding of the shifting policy environment and the broader implications of these policy decisions.

Afghanistan: understanding the key human safety and security issues facing returnees

16 August 2024

Afghanistan: understanding the key human safety and security issues facing returnees

DOCUMENT / PDF / 1 MB

This report aims to add to the body of evidence on human safety and security issues that returnees face in Afghanistan to enable targeted protection interventions that are appropriate, relevant, and specific to returnees and that may address the risks host communities are also facing. 

Mixed migration
Afghanistan: different understandings of localisation

16 August 2024

Afghanistan: different understandings of localisation

DOCUMENT / PDF / 799 KB

This report aims to support the LTWG and broader humanitarian response in Afghanistan by providing insight into the many definitions of localisation and how it is understood by different humanitarian responders.

Mixed migration
Afghanistan: spotlight on social impact (March-June 2024)

07 August 2024

Afghanistan: spotlight on social impact (March-June 2024)

DOCUMENT / PDF / 803 KB

This edition of the spotlight on social impact focuses on the following three themes: the effect of the poppy cultivation ban on farmers’ livelihoods, the availability of maternal health care in rural areas, and the ending of the pension system for government employees.

Audio

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