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Country analysis

Myanmar


Post-February 2021 coup conflict and longstanding localised conflicts between armed forces (the Tatmadaw) and ethnic armed organisations, widespread and systemic violence, political and economic instability, and natural hazards such as cyclones and floods drive the humanitarian situation in Myanmar.

Its ethnically diverse population was under military rule from 1962–2011; the military shared power with the Government through the 2008 constitution until 1 February 2021, when the Tatmadaw staged a military coup, declaring fraud in the November 2020 multiparty general elections that the National League for Democracy won.

The coup has since internally displaced nearly 2.3 million. In 2024, 18.6 million people are projected to need humanitarian assistance. The country has nearly 2.6 million IDPs, and more than a million have been displaced to Bangladesh, India, Malaysia, and Thailand.

Protection is a key concern, as armed conflict and international humanitarian law violations by the Tatmadaw and armed groups continue to affect civilians. Access to basic services is limited. Conflict and a lack of economic opportunities threaten livelihoods, particularly for the stateless Rohingya in Rakhine.

The country is facing soaring poverty and high food insecurity levels, with an estimated 12.9 million people facing moderate to severe food insecurity in 2024.

(AOAV 01/02/2022, CFR accessed 04/02/2024, UNHCR 23/01/2024, UNHCR accessed 04/02/2024, OCHA 18/12/2023)

Post-February 2021 coup conflict and longstanding localised conflicts between armed forces (the Tatmadaw) and ethnic armed organisations, widespread and systemic violence, political and economic instability, and natural hazards such as cyclones and floods drive the humanitarian situation in Myanmar.

Its ethnically diverse population was under military rule from 1962–2011; the military shared power with the Government through the 2008 constitution until 1 February 2021, when the Tatmadaw staged a military coup, declaring fraud in the November 2020 multiparty general elections that the National League for Democracy won.

The coup has since internally displaced nearly 2.3 million. In 2024, 18.6 million people are projected to need humanitarian assistance. The country has nearly 2.6 million IDPs, and more than a million have been displaced to Bangladesh, India, Malaysia, and Thailand.

Protection is a key concern, as armed conflict and international humanitarian law violations by the Tatmadaw and armed groups continue to affect civilians. Access to basic services is limited. Conflict and a lack of economic opportunities threaten livelihoods, particularly for the stateless Rohingya in Rakhine.

The country is facing soaring poverty and high food insecurity levels, with an estimated 12.9 million people facing moderate to severe food insecurity in 2024.

(AOAV 01/02/2022, CFR accessed 04/02/2024, UNHCR 23/01/2024, UNHCR accessed 04/02/2024, OCHA 18/12/2023)

Latest updates on country situation

19 November 2024

Insecurity and armed conflict in Rakhine state have reached a historic high. By mid-November 2024, the number of reported fatalities had surpassed the combined figure for the previous ten years. The number of IDPs had also reached around 530,000, 15% of the state’s estimated population of 3.6 million. Those residing in Rakhine are facing widespread food insecurity, as rice production has significantly fallen, the cost of food has increased, and there is widespread unemployment and a lack of a social safety net, limiting purchasing power. There are also severe restrictions on humanitarian access and a lack of access to essential services. In 2024, there has been a significant uptick in cross-border displacements and dangerous maritime journeys among the Rohingya attempting to reach other countries, indicating the severity of the humanitarian situation in Rakhine. (UNDP 07/11/2024, UNHCR accessed 20/11/2024, ACLED accessed 20/11/2024)

12 November 2024

Since July 2024, heavy monsoon rains and the remnants of Typhoon Yagi have resulted in intense flooding that has significantly heightened the humanitarian needs in Myanmar. The floods have destroyed around 3,000 houses and damaged 36,000, which currently need repair. The most flood-affected areas include the regions and states in the northwest and southeast, as well as Rakhine state. (Shelter Cluster 08/11/2024)

08 October 2024

The Myanmar military junta has increased airstrikes in Lashio town. Out of a population of 250,000, around 200,000 have fled to other towns in Shan state (such as Kalaw, Nyaung Shwe, and Taunggyi) and main cities of other regions such as Mandalay. The people of Lashio town are experiencing recurrent displacements caused by the fighting. Based on previous displacements, IDPs would need urgent shelter, food, potable water, protection, healthcare support (especially psychosocial support), and access to WASH facilities and items. People who are currently residing in Lashio are facing heightened protection concerns. The humanitarian response in the town is hindered by airstrikes and a telecommunications and internet blackout. Many humanitarian organisations have suspended their operations or evacuated from Lashio earlier in 2024 because of insecurity. Fighting in the town has already resulted in significant casualties and damage and destruction to civilian infrastructure such as homes and offices. Media reports suggest that a possible future ground offensive by the junta to recapture the town is imminent. (ECHO 03/10/2024, RFA 02/10/2024, BNI 07/10/2024)

17 September 2024

Heavy monsoon rain, compounded by Typhoon Yagi, since 9 September 2024 has caused severe flooding, particularly in Bago, Kayah, Kayin, Magway, Mandalay, Mon, Nay Pyi Taw, Rakhine, and Shan states/regions. Flooding has been reported in 59 of the 330 townships in Myanmar, affecting around 630,000 based on initial reports. Nearly half of the affected people are reported to be living in Mandalay and Magway. The floods have displaced around 320,000 people and killed at least 226 across the country. Significant damage to housing, road networks, transportation, telecommunications, and electricity in the flood-affected areas have been reported. The current situation worsens the already dire humanitarian situation resulting from the armed conflict and June–August floods. Urgent needs include food, potable water, healthcare support (especially medicine), clothes, dignity kits, and shelter support. Unstable telecommunications and internet services, damaged roads and bridges, road blockages, and armed conflict constrain the humanitarian response. (OCHA 16/09/2024, UNICEF 16/09/2024, AP 18/09/2024)

20 August 2024

The estimated number of displacements from intense fighting, including air strikes and shelling, between the Myanmar military junta forces and the Arakan Army in Rakhine state in August 2024 has increased from the initially reported 5,000 IDPs. On 5 August 2024, an estimated 20,000 people were displaced from three downtown wards in Maungdaw township towards the coastal areas. Others are trying or have succeeded to reach safety in Bangladesh. The IDPs need access to food, drinking water, shelter, healthcare, and WASH assistance. (OCHA 16/08/2024)

20 August 2024

Since late June 2024, intense armed conflict has escalated in Mandalay region and Shan (North) state. The recent fighting has displaced around 83,000 people in Mandalay to 170 sites in ten townships in Mandalay and Sagaing regions and around 33,000 in Shan (North) within the state, to southern and eastern Shan states, and to Mandalay region. The IDPs in Mandalay and Shan (North) need food, clean drinking water, shelter, protection, healthcare, and WASH assistance. Fighting is severely disrupting the humanitarian response in Shan (North). Several international organisations have had to temporarily relocate from Lashio to Taunggyi township, and several national organisations have had to suspend operations in Lashio township, affecting the delivery of essential services. Local humanitarian responders are providing emergency assistance to the affected people, but significant gaps remain in the provision of food, clean drinking water, healthcare, and other essential relief items. (OCHA 16/08/2024, ACLED accessed 21/08/2024)

10 August 2024

Since late July 2024, monsoon floods have affected Ayeyarwady, Bago, Kayin, Mon, Tanintharyi, and Yangon, displacing 110,000 to temporary evacuation centres or their relatives’ homes across 36 townships until 6 August 2024. The affected urgently need food, clean water, shelter, WASH, and healthcare assistance. The displaced specifically need tarpaulins, blankets, and solar lamps. Returnees will also require cleaning services for removing mud and debris. Floodwaters have likely damaged water sources, latrines, and other WASH infrastructure. Evacuation centres often lack WASH facilities and are overcrowded, resulting in the spread of diseases, such as dysentery and scabies. Floods also increase the risk of vector-borne and waterborne diseases, such as dengue, cholera, and diarrhoea, including acute watery diarrhoea, which has been increasing in Yangon since July. The floods have caused widespread damage to agricultural lands, affecting livelihoods and aggravating the food insecurity situation, with around 13 million people in Myanmar already needing food security assistance in 2024. (IFRC 10/08/2024, AHA Centre 07/08/2024, OCHA 18/12/2023)

current crises
in Myanmar


These crises have been identified through the INFORM Severity Index, a tool for measuring and comparing the severity of humanitarian crises globally.

Read more about the Index

MMR006 - 2024 Monsoon Floods

Last updated 13/11/2024


Drivers

Floods

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

3 Medium

Access constraints

5.0

MMR004 - Post-coup conflict

Last updated 13/11/2024


Drivers

Violence
Socio-political
Conflict

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

4.6 Very High

Access constraints

5.0

MMR001 - Country level

Last updated 13/11/2024


Drivers

Socio-political
Conflict
Violence

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

4.6 Very High

Access constraints

5.0

MMR002 - Rakhine conflict

Last updated 13/11/2024


Drivers

Conflict

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

4.1 Very High

Access constraints

5.0

MMR003 - Kachin and Shan conflict

Last updated 13/11/2024


Drivers

Conflict

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

3.9 High

Access constraints

5.0

REG011 - Rohingya Regional Crisis

Last updated 25/09/2024


Drivers


Crisis level

Regional

Severity level

4.1 Very High

Access constraints

5.0

Analysis products
on Myanmar

Myanmar: access constraints in Rakhine state

18 November 2024

Myanmar: access constraints in Rakhine state

DOCUMENT / PDF / 284 KB

This report highlights the challenges surrounding aid delivery for humanitarian organisations and access to that aid for people in need.  It aims to inform humanitarian responders, donors, and decision makers about the access constraints affecting their operations, staff, and the communities they serve.

Humanitarian access
Myanmar: impact of Typhoon Yagi

24 September 2024

Myanmar: impact of Typhoon Yagi

DOCUMENT / PDF / 1 MB

This report analyses the multisectoral impact of Typhoon Yagi on affected states and regions in Myanmar, detailing pre-crisis needs and vulnerabilities where information is available. This report also anticipates developments in the coming two–three months and details humanitarian constraints and response capacity. 

Natural hazards
Myanmar: impact of the southwest monsoon

27 August 2024

Myanmar: impact of the southwest monsoon

DOCUMENT / PDF / 1 MB

Since 30 June 2024, continuous heavy rainfall in Myanmar has led to flash floods that have particularly affected the northern and northwestern regions, including Bago, Kachin, Magway, Mandalay, Sagaing, and Shan.

Natural hazards
Myanmar: Flooding in Kachin

12 July 2024

Myanmar: Flooding in Kachin

DOCUMENT / PDF / 341 KB

From 29 June, Myanmar’s monsoon season brought heavy rainfall that caused fluvial flooding in the north of the country. The most extensive flooding has occurred Kachin state. At least 31,000 people were evacuated and 26,400 people were reported to be affected by the floods, only some of whom had been evacuated.

Natural hazards

29 February 2024

Reported attacks on healthcare: 2021–2023

Health
View more

Security incidents: 2021–2023