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Country analysis

Afghanistan


In 2025, Afghanistan faces a severe humanitarian crisis, with 22.9 million people – nearly half the population – requiring urgent aid. Economic collapse, climate insecurity, and restrictive policies fuel worsening conditions. The Taliban’s governance continues to affect civilians, particularly women and girls, through job restrictions, education bans, and movement limitations.

The economy remains fragile, worsened by reduced international aid, including a recent 90-day US funding pause – causing health facility closures and food shortages. Over one-third of the

population faces acute hunger owing to poor harvests, inflation, and economic instability.

Climate change has worsened disasters, leading to prolonged droughts since 2018, while the 2023 Herat earthquakes displaced 380,000 people. Water shortages have led to declining crop yields and worsening food insecurity. In 2024 alone, 1.4 million displaced people returned to Afghanistan from

Pakistan and Iran as returnees, many, facing shelter, food shortages, and limited job opportunities upon arrival.

Humanitarian efforts struggle from Taliban restrictions and funding shortages, leaving critical aid programs such as protection, food, and healthcare at risk.

(OCHA accessed 25/02/2025, [IPC 07/01/2025](https://reliefweb.int/report/afghanistan/afghanistan-ipc-acute-food-insecurity-analysis-september-2024-march-2025-published-7-january-2025#:~:text=During%20the%20projection%20period%20(November,in%20urgent%20need%20of%20humanitarian), [IFRC 17/12/2024 (https://www.ifrc.org/article/afghanistan-one-year-after-devastating-quakes-2023-residents-get-keys-new-life ), [Reuters 22/01/2025] (https://www.reuters.com/world/aid-chief-says-us-aid-pause-disastrous-afghanistan-2025-01-22/ ), [HRW 16/01/2025] (https://reliefweb.int/report/world/world-report-2025-events-2024-enardejakoptzh ))

In 2025, Afghanistan faces a severe humanitarian crisis, with 22.9 million people – nearly half the population – requiring urgent aid. Economic collapse, climate insecurity, and restrictive policies fuel worsening conditions. The Taliban’s governance continues to affect civilians, particularly women and girls, through job restrictions, education bans, and movement limitations.

The economy remains fragile, worsened by reduced international aid, including a recent 90-day US funding pause – causing health facility closures and food shortages. Over one-third of the

population faces acute hunger owing to poor harvests, inflation, and economic instability.

Climate change has worsened disasters, leading to prolonged droughts since 2018, while the 2023 Herat earthquakes displaced 380,000 people. Water shortages have led to declining crop yields and worsening food insecurity. In 2024 alone, 1.4 million displaced people returned to Afghanistan from

Pakistan and Iran as returnees, many, facing shelter, food shortages, and limited job opportunities upon arrival.

Humanitarian efforts struggle from Taliban restrictions and funding shortages, leaving critical aid programs such as protection, food, and healthcare at risk.

(OCHA accessed 25/02/2025, [IPC 07/01/2025](https://reliefweb.int/report/afghanistan/afghanistan-ipc-acute-food-insecurity-analysis-september-2024-march-2025-published-7-january-2025#:~:text=During%20the%20projection%20period%20(November,in%20urgent%20need%20of%20humanitarian), [IFRC 17/12/2024 (https://www.ifrc.org/article/afghanistan-one-year-after-devastating-quakes-2023-residents-get-keys-new-life ), [Reuters 22/01/2025] (https://www.reuters.com/world/aid-chief-says-us-aid-pause-disastrous-afghanistan-2025-01-22/ ), [HRW 16/01/2025] (https://reliefweb.int/report/world/world-report-2025-events-2024-enardejakoptzh ))

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Latest updates on country situation

08 April 2025

Since 1 April 2025, 8,900 Afghans have been expelled from Pakistan to Afghanistan after Pakistan’s October 2024 announcement of a multistage deportation plan for undocumented Afghans, with a 31 March 2025 deadline. The Pakistani Government plans to forcibly expel Afghan nationals, including refugees and asylum seekers, as part of its Illegal Foreigners Repatriation Plan. Arrests, detentions, and harassment have increased, particularly in Islamabad Capital Territory and Rawalpindi (Punjab), causing many Afghans to flee, sometimes without their belongings. In Afghanistan, returnees face unemployment, a dysfunctional healthcare system, and decreased foreign aid. Some risk persecution by the Taliban. 14.8 million were projected to face Crisis (IPC phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity from November 2024 to March 2025. The health sector is collapsing, aggravated by the US funding freeze. By 4 March, 167 health facilities had closed in 25 provinces, affecting 1.6 million people, with more expected to close by June. (DW 08/04/2025, AI 26/03/2025, UN 17/03/2025)

10 December 2024

On 2 December 2024, the Taliban issued a new decree to ban women from attending medical training – one of the last higher education opportunities that were left for women in the country. This ban will worsen an already fragile healthcare system, leaving countless Afghan women without access to adequate care. The country is facing a severe shortage of medical professionals – particularly female doctors, nurses, and midwives. In Afghanistan, women are not allowed to see male doctors for treatment. If the ban is implemented, this contradictory decision may lead to increased risk of illness and death for women caused by a lack of healthcare access. In 2024, about 23.7 million people are projected to be in urgent need of humanitarian assistance in Afghanistan; 77% of them are women and children, and approximately 17.9 million require health assistance. Afghanistan is one of the countries with the highest maternal mortality rates, with 638 mothers dying for every 100,000 births. (HRW 03/12/2024, MSF 06/12/2024, UNHCR 08/12/2024)

24 July 2024

From 15–16 July 2024, heavy rainfall and flash floods affected several provinces in eastern and northeastern Afghanistan, killing at least 58 people, injuring 380, and likely displacing many others. The impact also destroyed 550 tents In the Omari IDP camp and damaged many WASH facilities. People’s needs include food, shelter, health services, and clean drinking water. (OCHA 21/07/2024, IR 22/07/2024)

18 June 2024

Until 1 June 2024, over 610,000 individuals had returned to Afghanistan since the Ministry of Interior in Pakistan announced its Illegal Foreigners' Repatriation Plan (IFRP) in September 2023. The return process is still underway, albeit slower than at the end of 2023. Among the most recent 21,821 returnees who arrived between 16–31 May 2024, 37% were elderly, 22% were individuals with chronic diseases, and 21% were women. These people might need tailored assistance. Overall, the most pressing needs of the returnees include financial support, shelter, and employment opportunities. (IOM accessed 18/06/2024, IOM 07/06/2024)

29 May 2024

An estimated 6.5 million children will likely face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or Emergency (IPC Phase 4) food insecurity in 2024 given the impact of floods, droughts, and the mass return of Afghans from Pakistan and Iran. Heavy rains are likely to intensify in the coming months, leading to more floods and further affecting food insecurity. (STC 27/05/2024, WFP 21/05/2024)

13 May 2024

From 10–11 May 2024, heavy rainfall and flash floods hit northeastern Afghanistan, affecting 21 districts across Badakhshan, Baghlan, and Takhar provinces, with Baghlan facing the most impacts. The disaster has displaced an unknown number of people, who need emergency shelter, food and NFIs, medical supplies, safe drinking water, and hygiene kits. By 14 May, at least 330 people had died from the impact, the majority of whom were in Baghlan province. By 12 May, the floods had destroyed or damaged nearly 9,000 homes. Civilian infrastructure, such as key health facilities and water supply systems, has sustained significant damage. Flooding has also affected agricultural land and livestock. Some access restrictions from road damage are likely to hinder aid delivery. (OCHA 12/05/2024, ECHO 14/05/2024, FloodList 13/05/2024)

18 April 2024

In 2024, food, education, and shelter are among the key needs of the about 250,000 children in Afghanistan who have recently returned from Pakistan. Since September 2023, over 520,000 Afghans have returned from Pakistan after the latter announced that all foreigners in the country without valid documents would be forced to leave by 1 November or face arrest and deportation. (STC 18/04/2024, ACAPS 07/12/2023)

current crises
in Afghanistan


These crises have been identified through the INFORM Severity Index, a tool for measuring and comparing the severity of humanitarian crises globally.

Read more about the Index

AFG001 - Complex crisis

Last updated 17/03/2025


Drivers

Conflict
Violence
Displacement
Drought
Earthquake
Socio-political

Crisis level

Country

Severity level

4.5 Very High

Access constraints

4.0

Analysis products
on Afghanistan

Afghanistan: Implications of the US foreign aid cuts on the humanitarian response

01 April 2025

Afghanistan: Implications of the US foreign aid cuts on the humanitarian response

DOCUMENT / PDF / 1 MB

This report builds on ACAPS’ briefing note on what the US aid freeze means to Afghanistan, published on 7 February 2025. It aims to provide a more comprehensive overview of the implications of the US aid freeze and subsequent cuts on humanitarian programming in the country, with a focus on how this affects humanitarian response capacity and Afghans.

Anticipatory analysisUS funding freeze
Afghanistan: Uzbekistan’s bilateral aid and economic investments

14 March 2025

Afghanistan: Uzbekistan’s bilateral aid and economic investments

DOCUMENT / PDF / 319 KB

This paper examines Uzbekistan's engagement in Afghanistan, focusing on the period since August 2021. It first describes Uzbekistan's foreign policy perspective on Afghanistan, including humanitarian assistance and economic investments and cooperation.

Economy
Afghanistan: Barriers and enablers to self-employment for women

12 February 2025

Afghanistan: Barriers and enablers to self-employment for women

DOCUMENT / PDF / 359 KB

A complex intersection of traditional gender norms and progressive and regressive changes resulting from political instability has long shaped women’s participation in public Afghan life. Over the last century, women and girls have experienced periods of improvement relating to the realisation of their full range of rights. 

Gender
Afghanistan: what the US aid freeze means for the country

07 February 2025

Afghanistan: what the US aid freeze means for the country

DOCUMENT / PDF / 265 KB

On 20 January 2025, US President Donald Trump issued an executive order (EO) calling for a 90-day suspension of US-funded foreign aid, including humanitarian operations.

Anticipatory analysisAudioUS funding freeze

Attached resources

Afghanistan: 2023-2024 economic scenario review and outlook for 2025-2026

30 December 2024

Afghanistan: 2023-2024 economic scenario review and outlook for 2025-2026

DOCUMENT / PDF / 409 KB

This report is an update on the forward-looking snapshot of the Afghan economy published in January 2023 and aims to provide humanitarian responders with an understanding of Afghanistan’s key economic constraints

AudioEconomy
View more

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