03 July 2023

Ukraine: scenarios possible developments in people’s basic needs and coping capacity

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The four scenarios consider four different yet plausible futures for Ukraine over the coming 12 months. These scenarios do not describe the imagined futures in detail but consider key differences in the conflict, governance, and economic environments and the extent to which and how people’s personal safety, needs, and coping strategies might change. 

Anticipatory analysis Conflict and violence