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Date

Country

A contested electoral process heightens localised armed clashes, displacement, and service disruptions

Risk type

Date

Country

Potential Hezbollah–Israel escalation related to Israeli/United States attack on Iran results in increased internal displacement, cross-border movements, and worsening food insecurity

Risk type

Date

Country

Worsening energy shortages and US pressure lead to essential service disruptions and rising humanitarian needs in Cuba

Risk type

Date

Country

Direct US–Iran military confrontation causes mass civilian casualties in Iran and regional conflict spillover, leading to displacement and service collapse

Risk type

Date

Country

Potential Red Sea disruptions from a US–Iran conflict reduce foreign currency earnings, heighten food insecurity, and disrupt services across Egypt

Risk type