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CLIMATE & environment ANALYSIS


Supporting informed decision-making in complex environments and anticipating risks in climate vulnerable and fragile contexts. 

Climate change has become one of the main drivers of humanitarian needs worldwide. In 2023, climate extremes pushed 72 million people into crisis or emergency hunger levels and caused over 20 million new internal displacements.

 

By 2030, the number of people requiring humanitarian assistance as a result of climate-related hazards is projected to rise by 50%, reaching 150 million people annually, and nearly double by 2050, surpassing 200 million people annually.  

 

72m

people affected by climate-related crises in 2023

 

150M

people to be affected by climate-related crises by 2030

Between 2010–2020, climate extremes — particularly floods, storms, droughts, and heatwaves — were responsible for 83% of natural hazard-related disasters.

 

These events affected 1.7 billion people and resulted in more than 400,000 deaths. By 2022, 70% of refugees and asylum seekers originated from countries highly vulnerable to climate impacts. 

 

Addressing this complex crisis requires the aid sector to have access to reliable, timely, and high-quality information.

ACAPS seeks to bridge the gap between scientific evidence and aid decision-making by delivering actionable, people-centred, and operationally independent climate change and environmental analysis.

Climate change has the potential to amplify Niño-induced rainfall and temperature anomalies, triggering unpredictable and potentially more extreme outcomes.

This analysis is designed to inform the decisions of humanitarian and development organisations at both global and local levels, supporting disaster risk management, climate change adaptation, anticipatory action, and humanitarian response. 

Our pillars

  • Delivering robust, operationally independent climate impact and risk analysis.  

  • Developing climate data products to support risk analysis and decision-making.  

  • Fostering partnerships in climate analysis and building coalitions.

Analysis products
on Climate and environment analysis

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: impact of Hurricane Beryl

18 July 2024

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: impact of Hurricane Beryl

DOCUMENT / PDF / 630 KB

On 1 July, Hurricane Beryl made landfall in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (SVG) as a Category 4 hurricane, later evolving into a Category 5 hurricane boasting maximum sustained winds of 270km/h. 

Natural hazards
Jamaica: impact of Hurricane Beryl

18 July 2024

Jamaica: impact of Hurricane Beryl

DOCUMENT / PDF / 374 KB

Hurricane Beryl hit Jamaica on 3 July 2024. The Category 4 hurricane is historically among the most powerful to have affected the country. By 9 July, 1,876 people had evacuated from coastal areas, such as Old Harbour Bay in St. Catherine, to 160 shelters in safer areas.

Natural hazards
Grenada: impact of Hurricane Beryl

18 July 2024

Grenada: impact of Hurricane Beryl

DOCUMENT / PDF / 867 KB

Hurricane Beryl made landfall on 1 July as a category G4, moving west-northwest at approximately 20 mph with maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (UN 02/07/2024). In Grenada, Carriacou, Petite Martinique, and northern Grenada have been the hardest hit.

Natural hazards
Myanmar: Flooding in Kachin

12 July 2024

Myanmar: Flooding in Kachin

DOCUMENT / PDF / 341 KB

From 29 June, Myanmar’s monsoon season brought heavy rainfall that caused fluvial flooding in the north of the country. The most extensive flooding has occurred Kachin state. At least 31,000 people were evacuated and 26,400 people were reported to be affected by the floods, only some of whom had been evacuated.

Natural hazards
Afghanistan: understanding drought

04 July 2024

Afghanistan: understanding drought

DOCUMENT / PDF / 2 MB

Agricultural drought is threatening the food security and livelihoods of millions of Afghans, particularly in the country’s northern, northwestern, and central provinces. Nearly half of the country’s districts are classified as ‘very high risk’ and ‘high risk’ according to the Afghanistan Drought Severity Index.

AudioNatural hazards

Attached resources